Will the arrival of the Corona vaccine in the market and the departure of Donald Trump from the White House change the world? This question will continue to be debated in various ways this year. Although newly elected US President Joe Biden has announced his new foreign policy, the question is whether he will be able to fully implement it. So far, he has made no significant contact with the major world powers other than congratulatory messages, so it is too early to say what changes the world scenario could bring to the fore if he comes to power.
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| What is new world order 2021? |
Perhaps China and Russia are waiting for the United States to come out with a new policy, or for it to focus on its internal affairs by issuing a policy statement. So far, neither the United States nor Europe has been able to contain the epidemic. However, the climate of confidence that the vaccine has created is extraordinary.
An economic demonstration of this confidence can also be seen in the Middle East, where oil prices have begun to rise again. Under Donald Trump, China and Russia have distanced themselves from each other, but now they are both wondering if the United States is going to make new changes in their territory. Shouldn't it be gathered on the platform? However, Europe was, is and will remain a strong ally of the United States, and this is the case with Britain.
China was the first country to recover from the devastating effects of the Corona virus and its economy set a record for rapid growth. It is also encouraging, according to financial institutions, to maintain this rapid growth. I also see success. The slowdown in the global economy is coming to an end because of China's performance. China has also developed a vaccine to control corona, which it is administering not only to its citizens. The Middle East and Africa are notable among these countries, while its neighbor and important friend Pakistan is one of the countries to which it has provided free vaccines. Trump's departure and Joe Biden's presidency did not provoke any unusual reaction.
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In other words, he is giving the impression that the change of personalities means nothing to him (as far as the United States) is concerned, even if, looking at the Trump era, China and the United States are on the brink of a "trade war." Of course, the American people benefited from this trade policy, because the imposition of a tax on cheap Chinese goods brought American goods into competition and boosted the industrial process there, which increased employment opportunities. That is why. That despite Trump's ouster, his supporters still stand by him. China wants trade wars like Biden's time to end and Obama-era policies to be largely restored, but that may not be easy, given that Trump made such a fuss over the Obama-era 5 billion deficit. That this issue will not be erased from the minds of the American people. If Biden seeks reconciliation with China, he will still have to make very careful decisions.
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| How corona will affect World order? |
Under no circumstances can they allow China to upset the balance of trade like in the Obama era. If the United States competes with China on a front other than the economy, it is Southeast Asia. Most of the region, including Japan and South Korea, Most countries are allies of the United States. The list of US allies here includes emerging economies such as Australia, New Zealand, Thailand, Singapore, Taiwan, the Philippines, Indonesia, Vietnam and Hong Kong. After the horn fight, he launched a friendly policy in the region and moved towards making the peninsula a nuclear free zone.
Japan and South Korea played a key role in this policy. Although Japan had many complaints about Kim Jong Un, Shinzo Abe became Trump's most important ally. Now Shinzo Abe is out of power and so is Trump. Joe Biden is fully aware of the extraordinary importance of Japan, as he has been involved in the Obama administration's plan to focus on Southeast Asia rather than on the United States' Middle East and West Asia. He also took some basic steps in this regard, which on the one hand helped Japan to become a military power again, and on the other hand tried to bring it closer to India.
The United States believes that its real rivalry with China will be in East Asia, so it wants to form a strong group of allies from India to Japan that can stand in the way of China's growing power. Biden first telephoned Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi. It is clear that if India supports the US policy, it can be given a lot of concessions. However, the question is Is China unaware of this US alignment and not paying attention to it? This is not the case. President Xi Jinping's policy since the beginning has been that he wants to normalize economic relations despite taking a hard line against Japan.
Of course, they have strong reservations about rejecting Japan's non-military role, but they do not want to turn it into a conflict or a military confrontation. So despite the presence of nationalists like Shinzo Abe, China And Japan has not suffered any unusual bitterness. In the case of North Korea, too, China's policy has been one of reconciliation and it has not sought to disrupt Trump's meetings with Kim Jong Un, even though China is North Korea's only ally. And there, President Kim met with Chinese leaders before meeting with Trump.
Russia's role in the region, on the other hand, is shrinking and is no longer the same as it was during the Castro-Vietnam War, but it is still, at least in principle, China compared to the United States.
One reason for this support may be that he may find a foothold in the Middle East again. During Obama's second term in office, the United States allowed Putin in Syria under an informal agreement to send troops to President Assad's forces. In the beginning, it was the United States that organized the Syrian opposition against the Assad regime, but later it abandoned this policy under the guise of ISIS and the Syrian opposition had to face defeat. Obama had a plan of his own, or Putin was able to convince him that if the United States withdrew from the Middle East, Russia would not allow its interests to be harmed, but Trump did not allow the Arab countries here, especially But restoring relations with Saudi Arabia changed the politics of the region.
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He has helped establish relations between the Arabs and Israel, which has set a new precedent for Biden, which is not only different from the Obama era, but also a complete reversal. Biden has said he wants to denuclearize Iran The deal will be renegotiated, but Iran has created difficulties for it by increasing its uranium enrichment. Now they are forced to say that unless Iran meets all the conditions of the previous deal, it is not possible to lift sanctions on it. Iran's position is that the terms can only be negotiated after sanctions are lifted.
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| New world order 2021 and Pakistan and Asian countries |
Russia and Iran have been very close in dealing with Syria. Their military operations have been joint, and Russia has always supported Iran's nuclear deal, even after the United States pulled out of the deal. Russia Isreal ties and are also at their best. The two countries cooperate with each other in the fields of military and technology. The same is true of China. It also has good relations with Arab countries. Saudi Arabia is its main oil supplier. Yes, while there are vast markets for his wealth in the Arab world. Thus, he is no longer in a position to oppose new relations.
Obviously, if the United States were to become part of a nuclear deal again, then Russia and China would have to pay attention to the safeguards of the Arabs and Israel as allies. Arab-Israeli relations could emerge as a focal point in the region, and the world would have to formulate a policy on the Middle East in this context. Not only the world powers, but also Pakistan would have to consider Arab-Israeli issues in its policies. This situation will be very important for Iran and we have to see how it plays its cards. Remember, this is the year of elections in Iran and President Rouhani, who has been elected on the slogan of reviving the economy, in the region. Explosive changes have to be confronted.
After the US withdrawal from Afghanistan, Russia and China will become more interested in the region as they are global powers as well as regional powers. On the other hand, Kabul will need aid and capital for economic recovery. Politically, China And Russia can adopt a policy, but there is also India, which has a long-standing relationship with the Afghans. It has also invested heavily in the US presence and is participating in about two dozen development projects. In addition, it has played a key role in training the Afghan bureaucracy. Pakistan has complained to the United States about this, but its economic woes have prevented it from playing a major role in the Afghan recovery process.
He probably thinks that an economic power like China can be a substitute for him and protect his interests in Afghanistan, so it is very possible that China, Russia and Pakistan will form a group together. One thing to note is that How will the agreement between the Taliban and the United States, and then the talks between the Taliban and the Afghan government, facilitate Islamabad, and the extraordinary role it has played in bringing peace, be viewed in the new US policy? It is not as if the demand for "domor" has started from there again. Biden talks of a conciliatory attitude towards major powers like Russia and China, but will he follow the same approach in the case of Pakistan and Trump? Will the improvement in the relations between the two countries that started in the time of the BJP continue?
The new US administration's first contact with Pakistan was on the issue of Daniel Pearl and it was not very pleasant, while in comparison, Biden spoke to the Indian Prime Minister on the phone about broader cooperation. The United States will do its utmost to ensure that India has a role to play in any new situation that may arise after its withdrawal from Afghanistan. Relations between Russia and India have been very good, while China and India have The trade between the two countries is one hundred billion dollars. Neither of the two countries can ignore the trade interest on which their economies depend. Unfortunately, Islamabad has focused more on geo-strategy than economy and perhaps now Until he adhered to the same policy.
The brotherly country, its long-standing neighbor and religious ties are often mentioned, but little attention has been paid to the field in which practical work was needed. The new alignment from the Middle East to South Asia, too. The economy is of paramount importance. If you look around, India, Bangladesh, Sri Lanka and Afghanistan are making economic growth their main goal.
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The same is true of the Middle East and Central Asia. Therefore, Pakistan must adjust its course in the same context, even before it is too late. In fact, economic development is a principle on which relations between countries This principle is also the basis of the global alignment of the future, so is Islamabad making any preparations in this regard?